Geographical planning of space quarterly journal

Geographical planning of space quarterly journal

Analysis of the environmental drivers of tourism development policy with a Future studies approach: the case study of Karaj city

Document Type : Research Paper

Authors
Jahan Afrooz Ahmadzadeh
Firoozeh Haji Ali Akbari
Homa Doroudi
Department of Management, Zanjan Branch, Islamic Azad University, Zanjan, Iran
10.30488/gps.2024.461990.3751
Abstract
Planning for tourism development depends on various factors and conditions, which can be achieved under the condition of their systematic and structured application. This issue shows the importance of future studies and the necessity of formulating future visions in tourism development, including environmental drivers. In this research, an attempt is made to identify and analyze the key environmental drivers affecting tourism development in 2031. The current research is applied in terms of purpose and analytical in terms of descriptive method. The statistical population of the research was made up of experts and specialists in the field of tourism, and the sample size obtained using the snowball method is equal to 74 experts in the research field. The cross-section of the components was formed, and the matrix analysis was done with Micmac software. The results of the dispersion of the variables in the axis of influence and influence of the factors in Micmac software show the stability of the system in the development of tourism. Accordingly, the findings of the research showed that among the eight identified drivers, the drivers of preventing exposure, endangering the ecosystem, reducing the damage of natural hazards, and expanding green spaces, tourism managers with environmental education were identified as key drivers. Among the mentioned drivers, the one preventing endangerment of the ecosystem is the most effective and preventing the destruction of the environment due to the construction of second homes is the least effective.
Keywords
Environmental Drivers
Tourism Development
2031 Horizon
Future Studies

Subjects

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Geographical planning of space quarterly journal
Volume 14, Issue 4
Autumn 2024
Pages 93-79